Tuesday, September 23, 2008

Financial Meltdown: Recession!

I was made aware and am pretty much understand the power of economics in the America. Especially after recent times, that the price of crude oil shoots to USD140 and the sub-prime mortgage crisis that hit the Wall Street so damn badly. What else is more to talk about?

Everyone who has pass through the stages of recession in South East Asia during 1997 will recalled back those terrible times. Economic collapsed overnight, recession and unemployment, stagflagtation, monetary and local currencies is deem worthless at that particular time.


Malaysia, particularly, before that terrible time of 1997, was thriving on the bull run of economy. Almost everyone can blindly blindfolded pick any stocks in the market and make crazy money out of it. Then, came the crash. Everyone who is deemed brilliant then, was branded as greedy and stupid. Malaysians, in general, never really recovered from that recession. The bull that runs and rage in Malaysia fled elsewhere. China perhaps? This event, we called as 97, really teaches us to believe in ourself and look at the earth under your feet all the time. Always look at the downside, and normally, the upside will take care of itself, somehow.



The situation and crisis in America now is not of a HUGE surprise. Some economists and brilliant businessman has foresee this. Some brilliant analyst actually feel and know by instinct, that this crisis will come. It came hard. When banks start to offer funny campaigns to boost the figures and sales, while, making you hard to believe that they can actually making any money at all from the mortgage they offered, is the 1st sign of trouble. In addition, the risk-management is at mediocre, at best. Wall Street analyst and bankers wish to look good and look successful. Everyone is trying to boost that they can overcome the economy. Everyone thinks that they can be better than the Wall Street. The craze is there.

Then, fear comes. There are more supply than demand of houses in the market. Controls can no longer be applied to suppress the forces of fear of common men. As the oldest saying goes, man are driven by both greed and fear. Its true. Came the crash. Some so-called brilliant economists even dares to come out publicly and says that the recession is almost over! BS, IMHO! Everyday the economy looks gloomy, as the autumn comes. Banks is collapsing and declared bankrupt. How can this happen?

Now they are using the tax payers money to help and try to save the so-called, giant financial institutions. USD700 Billion to be exact, the American tax payers money. Lehman Brother declared bankrupt and Barclays took over them. AIG suffers substanstial losses and almost got wiped out clean. What happens?



I believe one of the problems, is back then when the bull is raging in American economy, the prices of home is simply, out-of-the-mind or CRAZY! A simple house by the highway 30 minutes to the nearest town in the middle of nowhere costs you USD1 million bucks. Can you believe it? But, the bankers look at the short term numbers to satisfy the shareholders and investors on the return of investments. Hence, they are blinded by the fact that HOUSES and property prices might be overvalued when it reaches certain craziness stage.


And now, American make decisions to use tax-payers money (good money) to throw after the bad money (losses suffered by American institutions) at the expense of American citizens. Can you believe it? Instead of making a better use of the money for the needy, like mid-class American, who are suffering due to bad credits, losses of employment and the ever rising inflation, they uses USD700 billion to rescue banks. Why? Important shareholders and important individuals holding their stocks la. What else?

Read this article for further information.


What do you think?

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Yes, i think it is unfair to rescue the banks at the expense of the taxpayers.

However, I believe that the Fed will not just leave this matter aside. We are all looking at the big guy (US) for each country's economy. We are so dependant on US. The big countries eg China has its own political reasons in the US banks. So I believe the US will not just let these banks aside and suffer alone.

Even though Fed decides to use 700 billion to rescue the banks, it is still not going to restore the situation. The housing property will still be at its lowest point. People are not any wealthier to buy the foreclosure houses. Its just to restore the market confidence and to write off the bed debts in the banks' books.

Yes, I still agree that it is bad but what can we do? We are not the market leaders. We are just the players. So we just follow the leader.

I might be talking about something totally irrelevant. But that is just what I think.

KrazyBananaz said...

Whao!

You have grown up! So intellectual and full of economics opinion now! And you view of the situation is valid and have your point of view.

IMHO, some of the Americans decision makers make decisions based on their understanding and view in American and on the macro view only.

Some of these individuals are totally not in-touch with the society, in general, at all. Look at the plight of the fellow Americans who are suffering by the streets and strive to even make a living and have some decent food. Some even have to stay in community shelter.

This is the world of capitalism. There will always be poor and there will always be rich.

The decision makers from the the rich category. What to do? Its always there and it always will be, since the age of feudalism to the age of Romans until now. The rich will always prosper one way or another, while the poor and general peasants will stay poor.